Archive for March, 2007

Posted on Mar 26th, 2007

Money creation in the stock market is made from CONCENTRATION. That’s right. Trading the very best stocks at the right time with enough capital to make a big difference.

You must go from wealth CREATION to wealth maintenance in this game. Unless you plan on "investing" for the next 25+ years and building wealth slowly.. this is my plan of how you can make millions in the stock market:

In Darvas’s book "How I Made $2 Million…"

How many looked at his position sizing? In his early trades Darvas only trade 1 or 2 stocks at any one time on MARGIN! Only when he got up to over $500,000 did he start diversifying a little. Most people overlook these facts.

MY Momentum Stock PLAN:

CONCENTRATION BUILDS WEALTH
DIVERSIFICATION MAINTAINS WEALTH

END GOAL:

$2 MILLION+ ACCOUNT MAKING 20-30% P.A

Start with:
$50,000
Trade 2 stocks with half capital in each.

RISK Per TRADE = 5%

When at $100,000 Trade 3 stocks with 1/3
capital in each.

Risk Per Trade = 3%

When at:

$500,000 Trade 5 stocks with 1/5 capital:

Risk Per Trade = 2%

When at $2 Million Trade 8 stocks with 1/8 capital:

Risk Per Trade = 1.25%

You first have to create wealth in order to maintain it. Whilst trading only two stocks at a time may be deemed to “risky” by the “professionals” you must be very selective on the stocks you trade. Quality beats quantity. Especially when you concentrate so much.

This is the only way a small account can break into the big time. You must not only focus your efforts in the early stages but you must also only trade the top 0.1% of stocks in the market and get your timing SPOT ON.

Get your Momentum Stock Trading System and sign up for my free weekly online trading system newsletter here at: http://www.stressfreetrading.com

Posted on Mar 26th, 2007

Airline pilots practice fly in simulators before taking off in an expensive new jet. They do this so that they don’t kill themselves or their passengers. They also do this so that a very expensive airplane does not get destroyed!

In the futures markets people who trade commodities have been practicing for years by “paper trading” the markets. Paper trading consists of using long term price charts to get a feel for the markets. This was done before we had computers by learning to recognize and analyze simple trend lines using a pen and ruler in a catalog of price charts supplied by a technical analysis chart subscription service.

Once the computer was invented an observant, entrepreneurial, futures trader named Lan Turner recognized that the entire futures trading process could be simulated with software. He noticed that this could be done just like the Xbox games kids play today that are a lot of fun (but don’t teach you how to get wealthier).

Mr. Turner created a simple software application with a programmer friend and began showing it around. Futures traders immediately recognized the enormous benefit of practicing in these highly leveraged markets before actually trading; just like pilots learning to fly a new aircraft use a simulator. With this first application Lan began hiring more and more programmers and today his company Gecko Software (www.geckosoftware.com) has the best futures trading simulator in the world because it really puts you in the trading seat without exposing your hard earned savings.

Now they have finally created an equity version that is being beta tested called TNT High Finance that allows me to actually practice in any past time in any stock. The software allows me to place positions and then roll time forward like a video player. This virtual environment allows me to see each day unfolding in any stock I want to practice an investment technique in the market without risking my assets.

The reason I am writing about paper trading in the stock markets is that you must understand how vitally important it is for you to find a stock investing technique that is just right for you. Each of us has different ways of thinking (psychology). A stock investing method that is just right for me may be horrible for you and vice versa. Paper trading in the stock market allows you to hone in on a stock investment strategy that works for you. Learn to paper trade in the stock market and you can get years of trading experience in a few short months of practice that is absolutely critical to your financial health!

Dr. Scott Brown, Ph.D. a.k.a. “The Wallet Doctor” can teach you how saving the daily price of a cup of coffee at Starbucks can make you a millionaire in the stock market through long term stock investing. Dr. Brown’s website is: http://www.walletdoctor.com/

Posted on Mar 25th, 2007

Historically, stock trading has been the domain of professional traders. Trading has been in essence a "private club" with restricted access. Day trading has changed that. For the first time, amateur traders have the tools (real time quotes and order execution) to compete with the professionals. Speed advantage of day trading
The key advantage of day trading is its speed. Now the technology is advanced enough to afford day traders the ability to receive and observe real-time price quotes tick by tick and to send electronically an execution order directly to the NASDAQ market maker. Electronic order execution is fast. Confirmations are received in seconds. Exiting trades is as easy and fast as entering the trade positions. Control advantage of day trading
The other key advantage of day trading is the control of trading. Day traders are always in control of their own trading. They are their own brokers. They examine the financial data, ascertain the trends, and make their own decisions to buy or sell. Day traders do not have to worry about the price slippage. They monitor market prices tick by tick. During trading, at any point of time the trader always knows the stock’s best BID or ASK price. Going home "flat"
At the end of the trading day, day traders close all of their trade positions and go home "flat". Day traders do not need to worry about a "long" or "short" position - because they do not have overnight positions. Without any open positions, day traders do not carry any overnight risk exposure.

About the author
Tony Reed is the author of The advantages of day trading, please visit his website Stock Trading & Day Trading for more information.
This article is free for republishing as long as you leave the article title, author name, body and resource box intact (means NO changes) with the links made active.

Posted on Mar 25th, 2007

Options are most commonly used by investors for either leverage and / or insurance (hedging). As leverage, options allow the investor to control an equity position without paying 100% of the share price. For example, rather than going on the open market and purchasing 100 shares of IBM for $8,257 ($82.57 per share), an investor could control the same amount of shares at a given strike price for a fraction of the cost such as the Jan 07 $80 strike with a total cost of $1,050. As insurance / hedge, options can assist in protecting against price fluctuations. For example, the same IBM investor can sell a call against his shares which will reduce the basis in the equity position by the premium received. In other words, he has hedged his position against any short term fluctuations his equity position may experience.

Selling options provides many benefits with the major reason being collecting premium from the sale of such an option. The premium collected goes into your account and can then be used to invest in other positions. The writer keeps the premium regardless of whether or not the option is exercised. Another important aspect with selling options is that of time value which now works for you rather than against you.

Selling options is not new and it isn’t as complicated as many make it out to be. It is a viable means of generating consistent income from your portfolio. If you are not selling options against your positions you are losing out on money you could be putting in your pocket each and every month. Keep in mind writing covered calls are not get rich quick strategies. They are a means of generating income for the individual investor regardless of their trading expertise.

Stock Market Cash Machine helps traders learn the advantages of writing covered calls. Covered Calls are often misunderstood but when used correctly can assist investors in generating monthly income as well as providing downside protection.

Covered Calls

Posted on Mar 24th, 2007

Margin–borrowing from your broker–increases your buying power, and when all is right with the world it literally doubles profit potential. But if you make a lousy play you have to pay back double. That’s why we have preached for years against using margin. There’s already enough risk in the market.

Let’s suppose you like stock XYZ at 50 but don’t have the cash in your account to buy all that you want. So you decide to “margin” it, which simply means you borrow 50% of the money to buy XYZ from your brokerage. If the trade goes well and XYZ moves higher, you can sell with a very nice profit.

But what if the market is in the process of correcting? Old XYZ could take a 10-15-point loss, and there is a good chance that eventually the brokerage will call you for the balance. Well, if you had to borrow the money to buy XYZ in the first place, where are you going to get the money to pay back the broker? We know that sometimes margin calls go out, and the customer simply doesn’t have the money to pay. That is an ugly situation that can result in liquidating positions, closing accounts and facing lawsuits.

It’s a different situation with short sales. Brokers insist that you have a margin position to do this sort of trading. That’s because short selling involves borrowing shares from your broker before selling them on the open market. When you are ready to close your short position, you “buy back” shares on the open market and return them to the brokerage.

We like to err on the side of safety. Buying on margin might be OK if you are a day trader who has the right tools and is operating in real time and keeping an eye on things. But if you are a short term investor or even a long-termer you have to be extremely careful if you are going to employ margin. You cannot buy something on margin and sit back and forget about it. A bad market stretch can get you into a boatload of trouble.

For a FREE report on HOW TO TRADE FAST, enter your email address at:

http://lb.bcentral.com/ex/manage/subscriberprefs?customerid=12826

This may also be very helpful to some of you:

http://www.americancashflow.com/agile/index.html

Posted on Mar 24th, 2007

I know many people who want to be stock market millionaires. They ask how all the time on “The Wallet Doctor” Ezine. It is actually not that complex if you know what you are doing. Becoming a millionaire does require discipline and the more the better.

There are a couple of main concepts that you have to master to become a stock market millionaire. First, you have to control, reduce and eliminate your family expenses. If you can get past this step you are well on you way. Most people feel restricted when they lower their expenses but there are creative ways to do this. Don’t take your children into stores and don’t buy them junk.

My wife and I like to eat at fine restaurants. We reduce the bill substantially by sharing a plate. If a restaurant charges a “plate” fee we never go back. We also began accelerating our mortgage years ago and are now amazed at how little we have left to pay off.

Second, you have to optimize your income. You can do this by getting a second job or selling things or services in your off hours. I know this is a lot more work then your peers are putting out but financial freedom doesn’t not come free. The first two steps amount to optimizing your cash flow which is the difference between your total income and total expenses.

Third, you need to insure against all insurable calamities. These calamities include illness, death of a breadwinner, vehicular accidents, and property losses. A good insurance agent is literally worth their weight in gold (or more) in helping you create an umbrella insurance plan that covers all insurance contingencies that are economically viable to cover.

Fourth, you need to dedicate yourself to a consistent, persistent plan of study in the area of stock investing that includes investing scams and understanding risk. Fundamentally you must learn how to buy stocks low and sell them later at high price. To become a stock market millionaire this will be come your guiding principal. The more you study techniques as well as people who have been fantastically successful in the stock market the more you are going to understand what it takes to make your personal finances work toward making you a millionaire stock investor.

Fifth, you have to absolutely believe you can do it. Only you can believe in you and when you do people fall in behind you to help. The more time you spend daydreaming that you can do it the more likely you will make it a reality. Everybody’s financial path is highly personal. For me I felt I needed a Ph.D. in finance to get down my financial path but you probably won’t. You may recognize that you need to do different things to put all of these five steps to becoming a millionaire into place. Believe you can become a stock market millionaire, wake up each and every day and do what you know you need to do to make it happen and it will!

Dr. Scott Brown, Ph.D. a.k.a. “The Wallet Doctor” can teach you how saving the daily price of a cup of coffee at Starbucks can make you a millionaire in the stock market through long term stock investing. Dr. Brown’s website is: http://www.walletdoctor.com/

Posted on Mar 23rd, 2007

The first chart is an SPX daily chart that shows the rising 10-day MA generally held recently. If the 10-day MA continues to hold, then SPX should continue to bounce off that MA and rise higher. However, there are many resistance levels between 1,305 and 1,316, and the 10-day MA is rising quickly. Also, the chart shows, the NYSE Oscillator (NYMO) 50-day MA peaked above 25 in early Jan and closed slightly below zero Fri. Typically, when the NYMO 50-day MA rises above 25, it falls below negative 25, and the second half of the downtrend is steeper. So, SPX may at least pullback somewhat similar to the Jan-Feb and Feb-Mar pullbacks. The 20 & 50 day MAs may be short-term support.

The second chart is a six-year daily chart of SPX with its 200-day MA (black and blue lines), the VIX 200-day MA (green line), and the CBOE Put/Call 200-day MA (red line). VIX closed just above 11 Fri and bounced off 10 twice recently. The VIX 200-day MA closed at 12.33, which is slightly above the 12.29 all-time low set in mid-Feb ‘94, when a 9.7% SPX correction was underway. The VIX 200-day MA has been falling at a decreasing rate recently (Nasdaq’s VXN 200-day MA has flattened). When the VIX 200-day MA begins an uptrend, that may indicate the cyclical bull market is over.

The third chart is a six-year daily chart that shows the 10 and 200 day MAs ratios of SPX to CBOE Put/Call (or CPC). The SPX to CPC 10 and 200 day MAs have been rising, because SPX has been rising, while CPC has been falling. If the 10-day MA ratio mean reverts, then either SPX will fall, CPC will rise, or some combination therein will take place to where the 10-day MA falls towards the 200-day MA. The fourth chart is a two-year daily SPX to VIX ratio chart with 50 and 200-day MAs. The ratio rose sharply from mid-Oct to early-Jan, when SPX rallied and VIX fell, and it’s currently near the top of the uptrend range again above 116. The ratio tends to mean revert. So, it may fall well below 100 within a month.

The four charts suggest a larger pullback or correction will take place soon. When SPX falls three or four points below its 10-day MA, selling may accelerate. Also, SPX is just below several major resistance levels between 1,305 and 1,316, including the three day trading area resistance zone between 1,305 and 1,310, the weekly and monthly upper Bollinger Bands around 1,310, and the five-year high at 1,316. Moreover, the market bullish CBOE Put/Call 200-day MA has been more than offsetting the market bearish NYMO 50-day MA and market bearish VIX 200-day MA. Furthermore, a mean reversion of the SPX to CPC ratio indicates a pullback, and the SPX to VIX ratio indicates SPX will be lower in a month. However, if SPX continues to generally hold its 10-day MA, it may bounce off that MA often and rise higher.

Arthur Albert Eckart is the founder and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for commercial banks, e.g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Commerce Technologies, during the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA & MA in Economics from the University of Colorado. He has worked on options portfolio optimization since 1998.

Mr Eckart has developed a comprehensive trading methodology using economics, portfolio optimization, and technical analysis to maximize return and minimize risk at the same time and over time. This methodology has resulted in excellent returns with low risk over the past four years.

Posted on Mar 23rd, 2007

Multiply Your Money – Invest with Care

The investment in stock multiplies quickly. The certificates of deposits may give you interest rates ranging from 4 to 5% depending on the deposit period. Out of the interest that you receive, you have to pay income tax as if it is applicable to you.

The invisible deduction on the interest comes from inflation. The inflation rate of about 3% in USA makes a hole in your pocket without your knowing it. When you consider income tax and inflation together, you may be actually loosing money rather than making money on your certificate of deposit.

Excess Money – Your Saving

The money you every month or year earn is not all spent in the same year. Clever and careful persons always control the expenditure so that they always have an excess of money over the expenditure. This is the rate that drives the future progress of a country

The personal saving rate in USA has been lower at 8% compared to other countries where the rates of 15 to 30% have been the norm over last few years. This excess money is the saving you can invest. Since the savings available in USA is only 8%, the case for investing wisely becomes stronger.

What is the best avenue?

If you can take some calculated risks, the stock markets become the focal point of investing. The increase in the wealth can be phenomenal. An investment of $10,000 made in Microsoft shares in 1986, was worth $3.5 million in 2004. There is no way in which the certificate of deposits can match this kind of increase in personal wealth. But remember not every company has the growth rate of Microsoft.

The General Impression

The general impression about the stock market continues to be bad and the cases of persons going down in stock market become the talk of social circle. No one talks of Warren Buffets of stock markets until they have reached the level of legends. Such legends may be few in number, but there are many Warren Buffets in waiting in wings about which one knows or cares to talk about.

So What Do I Do?

The key is to start investing wisely and go up as you progress. If you follow the tips given below the chances are you might make money sooner than you think.

A warning is due here. Although the tips can be given, there is no guarantee that you will make as you might desire and the rate of your growth cannot be certain. It all depends on how you go about it. None is going to walk you through the phase of investing with a guaranteed return on your investment.

Smart Investing Tips

• Have a plan ready and consult your broker when you make that plan operative.

• Study the market changes and do not be in a hurry to make an investment before you have studied the market movements.

• Although “buy low and sell high” is the stock market mantra, remember that it is not possible to do it always. Whenever you get profit, do not forget to bring it home and re-invest.

• When in doubt, wait and wait. Do move for kill if you find an opportunity. Be ready to take risks if necessary, but the risks should be calculated ones and not reckless.

• Ask when you are not sure. Deal only with the established brokers and develop good relation with the broker. It might pay you in just one deal with that broker.

• Never invest on hot tips, rumors, or inside information. Do not give in to pressure tactics.

• Be on lookout for smart investing opportunity. Once you get it do not let it go.

For more information on shares and investing in stock market, please visit http://stockmarketpages.info

Posted on Mar 22nd, 2007

The stock Market appears again, often to wrong, as a world apart and often a reserved universe to the initiated. Some think even that if one does not do left the warn, one risks doing more bad deals than of good ones. Nevertheless the potentialités remain attractive on long period.

But if it is true that the stock Market remains a risky market, she is not it more more more than more certain otherwise hazardous placements, such the creation and the development of businesses or very the real estate one obtain in of bad conditions more financial, more lawful and more fiscal.

To avoid too much disappointments, a counsel: take the time to learn and to read works and specialized magazines. Talk also with professionals. Otherwise says with specialized contractors in the stock Market and the placements, as the banks and other specialized establishments (stock Market corporations, notably, or e-brokers on Internet, affiliates of bank institutions). See also the insurance companies life. All can help you to begin, stimulate and to manage efficiently a stock market wallet. That, in financial conditions to discuss to benefit from the more and more weak expenses and of a true service. The Income that appears every week constitutes a "good school" to understand and act. what serves the stock Market?

This a big one walked where meet salesmen, to the research of capitals or of taken ones of more been worth, and buyers to the research of profits when the titles choose see their courses to increase. The salesmen of a day being maybe the buyers of tomorrow and inversely. For this is exactly the confrontation of operators having different beliefs on the increase perspectives or of decrease of the markets that participates in the organization of the stock Markets.

On these organized and controlled markets, actors negotiate titles to official prices called " the course ". This one can vary to every second on computer markets that referee the orders of the different operators.

The actors of the stock market market

The special ones are directly not very active. This are especially the big world-wide financial institutions. They manage at once the funds of pensions, the sicav, the FCP belonging to special as well as the capitals of institutions. They are the first actors of the stock market markets. You can therefore you to mix to those that buy or sell. That, through banks or intermediary attorneys allowing managing actions, obligations and all a series of stock market products more or less artificial.

Businesses, institutions and local groups come in fact on the stock market markets to look for capitals that will allow for them to finance, between other, investments to assure their development.

The different markets

The stock Markets respect precise conventions of organization. A business that looks for capitals by the bias of the stock market markets must fold themselves to certain requirements of rules and of financial transparency. Requirements that vary according to the concerned markets. Thus, the Paris stock Market, that now is associated in " Euronext " with the Belgian and Dutch stock Markets, works everyday working. One there distinguishes several stock market markets. Among the regulated markets, placed under the authority of the authorities, let us quote:

The First Market, The Walked Second, The New Market, The free Market. To which ones add those of the obligations and of various operations of " cover " or of speculation. The First Market

The First Market musters the most important quoted corporations. Be 468 values, fine June 2001, of which 171 permits of the purchases to credit to the SRD (to see more far), and 297 for which the regulation is done to the in cash. They are subjected to the accesses conditions the harshest ones. to know:

Put at the time of the introduction 25% at least capital (except dispensation) at the disposal of the investors to have obtained the visa of the Commission of the stock Market Operations (COB) To Publish uniformly the results of the business as well as the sales all the quarters To Make public by publication way all financial operation of breadth. The Walked Second

The Walked Second was created beginning 1983 to welcome size businesses average. They can thus obtain the necessary financings to their development. Considered as the antechamber of the official Market, his access is subjected to less harsh conditions, notably:

Put at least 10% capital at the disposal of the investors at the time of the introduction To Furnish periodically the news on the sales to have obtained the visa of the COB. The transactions are done to the in cash, except for elected values to the SRD (to see to SRD). This market is interesting to condition to follow by near life and the evolution of the corporations in which ones invest you.

The New Market

Created beginning 1996, it was put some places to support the development of businesses of high technology, to potential fort of growth and to allow for them to attain the stock market market.

Among the principal imperative one for these corporations, young mostly: to hold a million and half of Euros of funds, to be involved itself to yield 20% capital at the time of the introduction in stock Market, the titles offered having to represent at least five million Euros. This a walked to risk for the initiated nos to the stock Market because of the brittleness of the new businesses that the compose. It understands 167 fine corporations June 2001.

The free Market

The free Market, was created in September 1996. It is accessible for businesses of which entitle them are not admitted to the negotiations on the regulated markets. It behaves to June 30 2001 about 350 corporations. Thus, the inscription of the values is she free and left to the initiative of the shareholders or corporation.

The transactions are done to the in cash, c’est-à-dire with immediate payment, by negotiators of the Paris stock Market. The constraints are weaker than on the walked others. The volume of the transactions is equally often weak. One there runs therefore of bigger risks.

Ashu Felix Tambong

Posted on Mar 22nd, 2007

Indian Market

Budget ignited the markets. With the best known Finance personnel in the whole of Asia, this did not really come as a surprise. But market’s reaction was a bit overboard.

Technically, we "finally" have a breakout as you can clearly see from the chart below. This is the very first time that we actually broke past the upper trendline. And this happened on a great volume and with a huge surge. Another good thing about this breakout is, the next couple of days(post breakout) we have been getting good support from the same resistance line that now serves as a support line. But again, as you can see, MACD is extremely over-stretched and so are the other indicators.

US Market

Markets have been consolidating after breaking the 11K barrier, once again. The good thing about the way things are moving is that we have held onto Both 11K(dow) and 2300(Nasdaq). Though both indices did dip below these levels a few times last week, both sustained the wrath and came back up.

Technically, 11K and 2300 are giving extremely good support. As long as we can hold onto these levels, we still have good reasons to be bullish and going long. In the meanwhile, we have MACD negative divergence. Last time we had this around early Jan, we dipped for a few more sessions before rallying back up. We could have a similar scenario this time too. As you can see from the trenlines below, we are pretty much on track, both up and downside.

John Drass has been dealing stocks for over 10 years and has over 7 years Experience in Technical analysis. John has contributed articles and his know-how to various newspapers, websites and organizations across the world.

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