Three little pigs went to the market to stock up for the future.

The first little pig liked chips so he went to the DOW market. He was told by everyone you could always rely on their products. They were always good. The manager told him you could put them away and forget about them.

The second little pig liked spicy things. He shopped at the NASDAQ market where they had unusual products. He said that his purchases were good to put away even though they had some strange ingredients. He took his home and said he did not need to worry about them even though others had told him to be careful.

The third little pig went to both of those markets. He would pinch the tomatoes and squeeze the Charmin. He was a very careful shopper. Many times he would put things in his shopping cart, but later take them out because they were not "just right".

Our first little piggy brought home his purchases, put them away and many times forget about them. The store manager had told him they would always be good and he believed him so he did not bother to check on them periodically.

When the second pig got home he also put the things he picked out at the market on his shelf and would brag to his friends about the great things he would have in the future when he was ready to retire. He would have more than he would ever need. He rarely looked in the pantry, but once in a while he knew that one of the products was spoiling. That didn’t worry him either, as he knew they would still be fine some time in the future when he wanted them.

The third little guy put his purchases away, but regularly checked to see that they were all right. If one of them was not "just right" he would take it back to the market. Our third pig made sure that none of his market purchases went sour.

Time passed and our first little pig got to the point that he needed to start eating out of his savings. To his dismay he found many of his guaranteed chips has spoiled. There were still enough there so he could eat, but not the way he had before. Our second pig also no longer bought at the market, but when he went to the pantry he found almost all of his purchases had become rotten. In order to eat at all he had to take a job at Wal-Mart as a greeter.

Mr. Third Pig’s purchases all were good because every month he had checked to be sure nothing was going bad and if it was he would get rid of it right away. He was able to enjoy being at home or playing golf because his pantry was full.

It seems it doesn’t make any difference where our 3 pigs did their shopping – DOW or NASDAQ markets. The important difference was that the one who checked to be sure his purchases never went bad was the one who ended up with plenty.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

How often have you come across an advertisement or e-mail proclaiming to "teach" you the stock trading secrets that Wall Street Insiders don’t want you to know? Usually included in the descriptions of these trading products are claims such as "Make 10K monthly in minutes per day", or "Learn the secrets of Professional Stock Brokers", etc. etc. So what are these "secrets" that they are SELLING?

And if the Wall Street Insiders and the Professional Stock Brokers didn’t want to reveal these trading secrets with you, then how come the companies or individuals selling you these products are so quick to give up these "Never before revealed" techniques?

Is it because they don’t work, or are their products just the basic rules of trading rewritten (once again) in a new and thought provoking way? Or, if you believe everything you read, is it really some highly classified and secret method for trading stocks that is being SOLD here?

Stock Trading Secrets Revealed

In its most simplified form, the real trading secrets of the institutions and professional traders fit into at least one of the areas below…

1) A well developed trading system that has proven itself to profitably work over and over again in real-life trading

2) Knowing which trading strategies work best in which markets

3) The role of the Market Makers and how they use their influence to control the market and how you can use this to your advantage

4) What trading indicators are actually reliable

5) Which trading patterns are worth using, and when

6) Proper Money Management techniques, Money Management, and Money Management (note the emphasis here)

7) How to take advantage of margin

So, contrary to what they want you to believe, this is what they are selling you. I’m not saying that all of these trading products out there promoting unknown trading secrets are not worth the money, but quite the opposite. If they can provide you with truthful advice about any of the above areas, AND this advice is not easily accessible or publicized, then their product may greatly benefit your trading results.

But, if they are simply selling you generalized trading information that you can learn from any basic trading book, perhaps your money is better spent elsewhere. Buyer beware.

Frank Soler is a successful trader and Registered Investment Advisor. His company, Soler Investments, provides trading advisory services for stock traders and currency traders. Visit SolerInvestments.com today to find out how he can help you become a successful trader.

Copyright @ 2005 Soler Investments All Rights Reserved. Reprint of this article is allowed as long as due credit is given to the author and links are left intact.

The following are a list of nine things you want to avoid at all costs. Anyone of them can literally destroy your financial dreams and goals!

1. Trading with money you can’t afford to lose.

One of the greatest obstacles to successful trading is using money that you really can’t afford to lose. Examples of this would be money that is supposed to be used to pay the mortgage, bills or your child’s college tuition. This is sometimes referred to as “trading with scared money” and there is a very good reason for that. Ultimately what happens is that when someone knows in the back of their mind that they are risking the rent money, they trade out of fear and emotion versus logic and no emotion.

If you are in this situation I highly recommend that you stop trading until you earn enough to put into an account that you truly can afford to lose without causing major financial setbacks. You can start with as little as $2000 and trade stocks under $30.

2. The need to be “certain”.

We all have the need to make sure that the trade we want to make is going to be a good one. Therefore we look for signs that will give us a confirmation to enter. This can come in several forms, for example… Tuning into CNBC or the Wall Street Journal to give us news that our stock is on the move or waiting for a couple of extra days to make sure that the stock is really flying and just not on a false breakout. Other traders will get opinions from friends, family or broker. Others will wait for ten technical indicators to line up and give the “green light”.

All of these are okay to a point, however the big mistake to avoid is taking so much time that you let the trade take off without you. Interestingly, what ends up happening as a result of waiting too long is that you actually increase your risk. This is because as a stock moves higher and higher there are fewer buyers left in the market and it can come tumbling down until more buyers step in. It is like a game of musical chairs; eventually someone gets caught without a chair.

Traders who wait and wait and wait to make extra sure are usually the ones buying the top tick just before the stocks sells off. They then beat themselves up thinking they picked the wrong stock. Odds are it had nothing to do with their selection, just bad timing.

The thing to keep in mind is that there can be no absolute certainty in any given trade. All we ever can do is take a very educated risk along with a leap of faith!

3. Spending profits before you make them.

Nothing is more exciting then getting into a trade that blasts off and puts you into a highly profitable situation. This can cause major problems however, because this type of trade puts you in a highly euphoric state and leads to daydreaming about the huge profits still to come. You say “Wow I’m already up 15% in two days; I’ll be up 50% in a week and probably double my money in no time!” Then the next thing that happens is you are deciding on the great new car you are going to buy or perhaps telling your boss that he can stick it… Well you get the idea!

The real problem occurs as you get caught up in the daydream and expectations. This causes you to not be prepared to get out as the market sells off and eats up your profits because you have convinced yourself of the eventual outcome and will deny the reality of the situation.

The simple remedy for this is to know where and how you will take profits once you enter the trade. Also, realize that the market will only go up as long as it wants and not how high you think it should go.

4. Forming an opinion.

I’m here to tell you that the market does not give a damn about you or your opinions. Even if they are based on painstaking research or from a “Wall Street Guru”, it doesn’t matter!

Maybe your opinion on market direction for the long term is correct, but it doesn’t mean that in the short term things can’t move against you. Remember that there are tens of thousands of traders out there who also have an opinion. It is all these different opinions that can cause great fluctuations in price on any given day or week regardless of your outlook

5. Three 4-letter words that will kill you! HOPE—WISH—PRAY

If you ever find yourself doing one or more of the above while in a trade then you are in big trouble! As I have already said, the market doesn’t give a damn. All the hoping, wishing and praying in the world is not going to turn a losing trade into a winning one.

When you are wrong just use a simple 4-letter word to correct the situation-SELL!

6. Not sticking to your plan

A big source of trouble arises when a trader starts to deviate from their strategy. Maybe for a week they will trade according to one set of rules and the next use something entirely different.

This flying by the seat of the pants always ends up backfiring. This is because the trader can never be certain what is working and what is not.

You must never deviate from your methodology once you start. As long as it is a good one statistically there is absolutely no reason to change it. The way to make money from it is to trade it over and over again to exploit the edge it gives you.

One thing to also be aware of is that a trader is most vulnerable to switching approaches after a few loses. So, pay special attention at these times.

7. Not knowing how to get out of a losing trade.

It’s amazing how many people I have talked to who don’t have any clear escape plan for getting out of a bad trade. Once again they hope, pray wish and rationalize their position. As I keep saying the market does not care what you think. It does what it does and when you are wrong you are wrong!

The easiest way to keep a bad trade from going really bad is to determine before you get in, where you will get out. You can use a dollar amount or at some target point such as the low of the previous 15-minute bar.

***Make sure you don’t get the “stunned deer in the headlights syndrome”. This is where you see the stock fall to your stop loss point, but you are unable to take action. Maybe this is due to fear or disbelief that you are wrong, but unless you get out ASAP you could end up I major financial trouble!

8. Having an ego.

I have seen a number of individuals enter the trading game that were extremely successful in other business ventures. Because of this they had a fairly big ego and thought they couldn’t fail. Their egos became their downfall because they couldn’t except that they were wrong and refused to bail out of bad trades.

Once again, whoever or wherever you came from does not concern the markets. All the charm, powers of persuasion, number of diplomas on the wall or business savvy will not budge the market when you are wrong.

9. Falling in love with a stock or trade.

Let me give you an example of what I mean. Back in the spring of 1999 EFAX was a really hot stock. I waited to buy it on a dip and did so at $19/share. It started to move up strongly and life was great!

After a while though, it started to come back to my entry point and then below it. Here’s the problem. For some reason I really liked EFAX and sort of became attached to it. Ultimately I couldn’t let go of it even though I knew I should. I justified and rationalized why my dear friend should bounce back, but it never did. I finally had to break off my love affair when the stock hit $9. (Ouch!)

The moral of this story is never fall in love, let alone get married to any stock. It can cost you dearly!

I can’t emphasize enough the importance of the principles in this article. Whether you are a position trader, swing trader or day trader, these principles can help you avoid some costly and painful financial mistakes. As they say, smart people learn from their mistakes and brilliant people learn from the mistakes of others.

Dr. Jeffrey Wilde, a trading veteran with 16 years of experience is a trading coach to over 3500 traders in 63 countries. His new blog http://www.askjeffwilde.com offers free trading articles, tips and advice. He also teaches a variety of courses found at http://www.win-at-trading.com and http://www.fastforexprofits.com

Money management starts with protecting your capital, realizing profits and cutting losses. As I have stated in the past, without cash, you can’t invest. Cash is king and learning to manage your money is the most important aspect to investing in stocks. The game is won by lowering your risk by properly turning the numbers in your favor. Cutting losses is the best insurance to keeping your cash.

Emotions fuel the decisions of many investors; leading the pack is hope, fear and greed. In order to control these emotions, proper money management skills must be developed through a defined set of rules. How do you know if an investment is working and moving in the right direction? If it shows a profit, you are correct, if it shows a loss, something is wrong and it may be time to protect your capital.

Most investors develop the emotion of hope after a stock has declined from the initial purchase price. They hope that it will rebound and make promises to themselves that they will sell at breakeven. If and when the stock rebounds, they break the promise and become greedy and decide to hold on for a profit instead of selling. Typically, the stock will start to decline and the investor will start to accumulate losses. Investors are full of pride and will not admit that their judgment is wrong, so instead, they decide to hold on and accumulate additional losses.

When a stock is purchased and starts to decline, especially on heavy volume, it is time to admit that you may be wrong and sell before the loss is too steep. If the stock rebounds after you sell, you can always re-enter your position. Cutting losses is the best insurance an investor can have in their portfolio. By developing rules and eliminating emotion, investors can start selecting high quality stocks and buying them at their proper purchase points. This will lower your risk and help prevent you from using insurance. In my previous post, I explained how to develop a watch list of high quality stocks using fundamental and technical analysis.

About the Author

Chris Perruna

http://www.marketstockwatch.com

Chris is the founder and CEO of MarketStockWatch.com, an internet community that teaches you how to invest your money with solid rules. We don’t stop at just showing you our daily and weekly screens, we teach you how to make you own screens through education. Through our philosophy, you will be able to create your own methods and styles to become successful.

I am taking the time to help others learn the basics in evaluating stocks for investment using both fundamental and technical analysis. Both tools are equally important in making serious decisions with your hard earned CASH!

If you wish to invest in stocks, treat it like a business, NOT A HOBBY. (ex: a retail outfit can’t make money if it doesn’t have goods to sell; the same goes for investors, without cash, you can’t invest). You need rules and you need to follow these rules or money WILL be LOST. Once proven rules have been established, they cannot be broke or you will lose money. Everyone loses money in investing but we must learn to cut losses quick and allow gains to develop. Small losses are acceptable because they teach us lessons that allow us to win big!

Start your search by looking for stocks with superior fundamentals. After fundamentals are established, look to see if this particular stock is in good company, by this I mean a strong industry group - similar stocks, historically move in the same direction (this is fact not opinion). This is not to say every stock in the industry group will move higher or lower because a sister stock is going in that direction (this is a generalization rule). After the industry group has been confirmed strong, determine if overall market is in a specific trend (up, down or sideways).

If you are long a stock, the market must be in a confirmed up-trend, if you are short a stock, confirm a down trend. Note that 75% of all stocks will follow in the direction of the overall market. Don’t fight the trend, the market is always RIGHT.

Let the market and the stock dictate how long you will be in a position. Don’t worry about time frames; price and volume will tell you when to exit the position as long as you follow rules.

After fundamental have been established, you must study the technical side of each individual stock, the specific industry group and the general market trends. Record if the stock is forming a proper base, if it’s about to break out of a base, if it’s extended or if it’s pulling back to a key support line.

At this point, add any qualifying stock to your watch list or buy the stock according to the technical entry signals (remember the fundamentals have been established earlier).

Key numbers to use in fundamentals:
Earnings (current, past: quarterly, yearly and future estimates)
Sales (current, past: quarterly, yearly and future estimates)
Return on Equity (ROE)
Price/Earnings Growth (PEG)
Price/Earnings Ratio (rise over time of base)
Debt/Equity
Assets, Liabilities
Accumulation/Distribution ratio
Up/Down Volume over past several months
Number of Institutional Holders (is this increasing or decreasing recently)

Key things to use for technical analysis:
Look at the 1 year daily chart
The 1 year weekly chart
Check volume action when bases are formed
Look at Point & Figure charts for support and resistance lines
Look for new 52-week highs

About the Author

Chris Perruna

http://www.marketstockwatch.com

Chris is the founder and CEO of MarketStockWatch.com, an internet community that teaches you how to invest your money with solid rules. We don’t stop at just showing you our daily and weekly screens, we teach you how to make you own screens through education. Through our philosophy, you will be able to create your own methods and styles to become successful.

Time to look back

2004 is over, now we are in 2005. This is time to seriously look at performance of your personal investment, such as mutual fund, or individual stocks holdings, etc. Does your fund beat index last year? Does it beat index over past many years? How are you doing with your own stock investment comparing to SP&500 index?

If the answer is "great", well congratulations. You have your own way of beating market and making big money already.

If the answer is "not so great", or "failed to beat index". You have got a problem. You need to look deeper into the investment strategy you used or your fund used. You can not pretend that there is no problem when in fact there IS a problem. I know there are just so many people out there that can not face this. Let’s face it, Almost everyone, include myself have ego that we JUST do not want to admit failure or mistake or any hint of it. Here comes the 1st Component below.

Component # 1 - ego, gut, perseverance

Value investing or investing in general is all about psychology, ego, attitude, and gut.

Investing is serious business. It is our money, our life savings at stake. Sometimes biting the bullet with pain to trash the ego is worth the pain if that makes you more money. Ego is one thing that we must avoid in stock market investing business in order to make big money ahead. You can not hide, you have to compare your own performance of past many years to SP&500 index. Of course, I am not saying that you should be comparing every month. It is OK to make some mistakes, here and there for certain months. However, it is NOT ok if the performance year over year has been bad. You have got to change if that is the case.

Although ego is something you should all avoid, perseverance is something you must treasure if you want to be that marathon winner. When you finished your due diligence and you have calculated your risk reward ratio and intrinsic value, go for it and stick with it. Do not be scared of negative comments or negative press, even if the source is from a famous author or from your close family. Value investing is lonely business. I know this for years. I have been criticized over past many years for numerous reasons, for not beeing able to sell at top, for not beeing able to buy at bottom, for picking a risky bankruptcy related stock, or for buying a low float small cap stock , blah blah. You know what? in the end, my investment performance is better than most of folks out there in the market, including those "pro" mutual fund managers.

I have got comments like this before: "Blast, I like your method, I know you are making big money. But, I can not do as you are doing. I can not hold. Especially bad news hit, I just have to sell, and my performance sucks".

Well, if he/she do not have gut to hold like I hold during bad time, she/he can not make big money with value investing. One can be all right in paper, right with value calculation, right with timing of purchase. However, if you can not fight against panic during minor negative news, you are out in the investing marathon.

Component # 2 - right method

Many investment methods are flawed, period. This is especially true for many short term oriented trading methods. Many mutual funds preach long term holding for their fund investors, but the fund managers themself engage in short-term trading like mad men. Performance of many momentum based growth funds or tech funds looked horrible for past 5 years. The reason for that is very simple: the investing method itself. Growth investing or short term trading sometimes can be very speculative and dangerous.

Wall street has famous theory that "the more risk, the more reward". Therefore, yeah, growth funds are risky, but if you want to have more reward, you have to chase risky stuff.

Wrong. The truth actually is "the more risk, the less reward".

I know I am going to be hammered by saying above non-conventional statement. I put out below example to back up my point.

Las Vegas is world famous place for gambling. As an average investor, you visit Las Vegas looking for opportunities to make big money with $50,000 investing capital. Let’s assume the theory "the more risk, the more reward" is correct. Where are the riskiest opportunities out there in LV? Of course, Gambling. The potential reward can be astonishingly high. Black jacket, slot machine all have huge potential with 1000% or even more within minutes. You can make millions if you are lucky with your $50,000 principal at slot machine. Actually, it is FACT there are small group of gamblers who made millions in gambling in LV.

However, If you are sensible person, you know the answer. As high as the potential reward can be, the most likely result from gambling with $50,000 principal at LV is WIPEOUT. You lose all your hard-earned money.

If you are a rich investor with multi-million dollar capital looking for investment opportunities in Las Vegas. Certainly casino company stocks and bonds or private offering might be worth looking. However, the sad news is that no matter for stocks or bonds or private offerings, the investment reward is only around 10% to 20% yearly. Well, maybe it is not so sad at all. 10% or 20% of return is certainly a lot safer than gambling. Which reward is better, 10% - 20% return or wipeout?

Well, I know you may want to protest against my above example. Stock market can not be as bad as Casino, right?

It depends. Although casino gambling does not provide real investment opportunities as stock market provides, sometimes stock market can be even worse than casino due to insider manipulation, cheating books, etc. Over the past couple of years, I have heard so many negative news from stock market: Enron, Worldcom, mutual fund scandals, market timing, etc. But I have not heard of news of slot machine cheating by Las Vegas Casino company. Casino does not need to cheat to make money, the odds are against gamblers. Although stock market does offer real investment opportunities for businessman-like investors, stock market is also a place for gamblers to place their bet just like a Casino.

In stock market, the odds are against speculators.

Well, I know you may have more questions. Why Casino bonds or stock offerings or even private offering is only offering 10% to 20% returns?

Casino business is just another business. Numerous academic study has shown that in US history of past many decades, majority of companies can not maintain more than 20% of return on equity over the long run. Many companies are operating under loss, a negative return on equity. If you read books on Warren Buffet method of Philip Fisher method, you will know that they are experts in identifying those small group of high return on equity stocks. But for most companies, they are not as good as the stocks in which Buffet or Fisher invested.

Competitive economics is also at play here. If a company can make more than 20% of return consistently, the competition will heat up and more smart businessmen will enter this field to drive down the return.

If you think of value investing as special kind of business, you will realize how hard it is to maintain 20% return for the long run, as Warren Buffet achieved over past 50 years. Very few investors can do that. Value investing business is just as competitive as other business. Let’s face it, if value investing is not competitive and easy to make big money consistently, many smart business guys out there in US will liquidate their own company and start their investment firm instead.

Component # 3 - right tools - new way to find great picks

Peter Lynch mentioned many methods to get the stock leads and identify the big winners in his book "One up in Wall Street". Tips from wife, tips from friends can land you the great stock idea. Although his methods are very valid, there are new ways to find that great pick in this internet stage: Software Data Mining.

It is quite fortunate that I am a data mining expert myself. If you are good at data mining, you can do yourself well too. You can design and fine-tune your data mining tools to get the leads you want and make big money by getting ahead of crowds.

A successful value investor really has to find great pick ahead of big guys and move fast in order to make big money. In this internet stage, big guys such as mutual funds or hedge funds really have no advantage over small guys or small firms such as BlastInvest. At BlastInvest, we do stock data mining with our in-house software just as good as those big guys, if not better. Sarbane Oxley new law also helped individual investors and small firms like BlastInvest a lot because most of public companies now disclose information to public and to big institutions simultaneously through conference calls or press releases. Insiders now also have to report insider buying and selling within couple of days of transaction instead of several months before. Whenever insiders buy or sell, You need to know that immediately within a few days. You want to buy when insiders buy and you may want to sell when insiders are selling too.

Don’t despair if you do not know how to program software yourself. There are lots of tools and services out there to help you out. Here I want to talk about the most useful tools out there.

(1) Valuation screening tool. You need at least one tool for screening against value metrics for you. Yahoo stock screening is very useful tool and it is free.

(2) Insider buying tool. This is must-have tool to get you the latest insider buying stocks. There are many offering there, fee-based or free. We offer free insider-buying weekly service as well at BlastInvest.

(3) Strategy screen. Validea.com offers an interesting stock screening tool that can screen based on methods of Ben Graham, Warren Buffet, or Peter Lynch. It has limitations too. I have used it and found that its Warren Buffet tool is not working well and its Ben Graham strategy screening is only looking for "defensive" type of stocks, not the "enterprising investor" type of stocks. My BIRTP newsletter is really geared toward "enterprising investor" type of stocks rather than "defensive investor" type of stocks. Heck, still Validea is best kind of tool available at affordable price in this category.

Final thought

If you follow up with my above 3 components of value investing, you are on your path for financial freedom.

However, if you can not do as I stated above, do not naively believe that you can make big money alone in stock market mainly by hunch. Buy the stock screening tools if necessary, get the professional help from real experts and consider my newsletter BIRTP as well.

Webmasters and Ezine Publishers: Free professional content - pre-licensed to you..

You are invited to use any or all of these value investing articles in your publication or website. The only requirement is the inclusion of the following, after each article…

* Article by Henry Lu of BlastInvest LLC, a premium investment newsletter publisher in Connecticut. Visit http://www.BlastInvest.com for FREE "how-to" investing assistance, web services and more.

It seems that every day I turn on the TV and find a Poker game. Texas No Limit seems to be all the rage these days. I love watching it. When I discuss this with others, their response is always the same, “You should play.” Ah, but what they don’t know is I stay out of the kitchen. As far as risk to reward ratio. That’s a gamble I’m not willing to take. I prefer to invest my money. Sometimes I gamble in the stock market, but as long as I stay within my comfort zone (long term), I don’t mind.

Tolerable risk should be the goal of every investor. Know your limits! Here are my big three don’ts:

1. Don’t invest more than 30% of your portfolio in risky ventures;
2. Don’t let your broker/advisor talk you into an investment;
3. Don’t gamble with money you’re not ready to loose.

Here’s a poem I wrote about a real person.

There once was a man from the North East Who thought he could tame the great beast Money in hand, he headed to Wall Street A Bull market it was, an IPO investment he couldn’t beat The morning bell rang and he started to buy…

Drug store, MP3, Martha Stewart, and Be Free, Flashnet, Redhat, Eloan, and Goldman Sachs, Foundry Networks, Agilent, NextCard, and JNI corp, Goto, PCOrder, Free Markets, and Intertrust technologies, Ivillages, Keynote Systems, Radware, and Women, Kana, The Street, Internet Initiative, and Insweb, WWE, TicketMaster, CitySearch, and Ziff Davis.

He felt so good, like a young man and spry The days rolled along and the market did swell Up 80% by the close of the bell.

It was over the next few days that reality hit home The stocks started to plummet like the downfall of Rome A huge loss was incurred, sell everything without care Along with riding the bull you get tamed by the bear!

This real man I’m speaking of has class action law suits against every one of these companies and the underwriters of the IPO. Here’s a link to the law firm, Lovell Stewart Halebian LLP http://www.lshllp.com/homejump.ihtml?page=classaction.ihtml that happens to be representing this man in all these cases. To this gentlemen I have 6 words…if you can’t stand the heat.

About The Author

Brian Weiss is owner operator of www.InvestmentRunner.com a specialty search engine with free investors software, spread sheets, investors dictionary, and financial weblog.

admin@investmentrunner.com

If you’re a normal human being, your need to feel good about yourself probably causes you to sell your winners too soon – and — your need to avoid feelings of regret, causes you to hang on to your losers too long.

At one time or another, we’re all guilty of letting our emotions dictate our investment decisions. But the only way to succeed in the market, is to keep greed, fear, pride and hope away from your trades.

The most successful investors know exactly when they’re going to sell a stock, the moment they buy it. Often they use “trailing stops” which move along with the closing price of the stock. It’s a purely mechanical decision they make as an impartial observer – and never based on feelings or instincts.

How many times has “fear of loss” caused you to sell a stock that brokeout the next day? Have you ever “fallen in love” with a stock – “hoping” it would breakout after an initial 10% pullback, only to end up losing your shirt? Has “greed” kept you in a stock where you wanted 50%, not 20% — only to have the bottom drop out in a week, letting your profit dissolve into a loss? Have you ever held on to a loser because you wanted to prove your initial “instincts” were right after all?

By pre-determining the maximum amount you are willing to lose on a stock or fund, you can’t really get hurt. Equally important, this simple, proven strategy keeps you in a profitable investment so you don’t sell too soon and miss out on profits.

In a hypothetical example, let’s say you begin with $25,000 in a variety of stocks and funds. The first year was good and you made 25%. Now your portfolio is worth $31,250. You do the same the following year and now your portfolio is worth $39,062. Then the third year you lose 50%.

That would put the value of your portfolio back to $19,531 – which is less than you started with. Just one year’s loss can wipe out two years of great gains.

Now let’s say you had used the “trailing stop” strategy during these years…

You had the same $39,062 at the beginning of the third year – but – you were using a 15% “trailing stop”. As soon as the value of your portfolio dropped 15% to $33,203, you would automatically been stopped out, and would have locked in a profit of $8,203. I’m sure you’ll agree, that’s quite a difference!

Do this with just a few of your stocks or funds, and you can see how you can easily pocket thousands of extra dollars – while simultaneously minimizing your losses.

The “trailing stop” strategy is a time-proven tool for completely eliminating any emotions from dictating your investing decisions. The only problem is that it requires a lot of your time and a lot of work on an ongoing basis. If you have 25 different stocks, you may have to make 25 new calculations every single day.

The GOOD news is that now there is a new software program that automatically does all the tedious calculations for you. It can prevent you from taking big hits that can hurt you – while simultaneously letting your winners ride. Plus, you can now accomplish all this in about 10 minutes a day.

The program, “STOP-Master Portfolio Manager” is a great time saver. It monitors up to 50 positions in your portfolio. It automatically grabs current stock prices off the internet … recalculates new trailing stop SELL prices as needed … and completely updates your entire portfolio. When one of your positions hits your pre-determined SELL price, you are immediately signaled with a Pop-Up Alert. Then, simply instruct your broker to sell. No emotions. No needless losses. Greater gains.

© 2004 Empire Direct, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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You have permission to publish this article electronically or in print, in your Ezine, on your Website, or in your Ebook or Newsletter as long as the Author’s Resource Box is included with the article.

About The Author

James M. Clay has been a successful investor for over 20 years. He has shown many people how to use this simple technique to dramatically cut their losses, while simultaneously locking in profits. To find out more, please visit: http://www.AutomaticInvestmentProtection.com

jclay@bellsouth.net

Every successful trader has a winning system. There are of course, as many systems out there, as there are traders. Some systems get you to buy on strength and sell on weakness others do the opposite.

Some investors succeed as value investors , a la Warren Buffet ; others make their millions in momentum trading . I have even heard of an astrologist who uses the stars to trade profitably. Although, there are a variety of methods, the point I am trying to illustrate here is this: there are many ways to profit from the markets, but you ultimately must devise a system that is your own, because the personalization will act as a motivational discipline to stick with the plan.

There is however, one common element amongst all successful traders…they have a systematic way they approach the market. This approach is unique. In reality, no two people have exactly the same amount of money, tolerance for risk, personality, time or experience. Therefore, the key to success is to design a system that is suited for you.

Many traders fail because they do not assess how well a trading system matches their temperament. Instead, they chase fads, searching for the "Holy Grail" of trading success; or they waste their money on the latest investing software or buying up the tapes of the latest self-proclaimed stock market guru.

The fact is there is no perfect system. Successful investors succeed because they choose a system that they feel comfortable with, not one that claims to be the current trend. A cool, disciplined trader will make money with an "average" system, while a nervous, arbitrary trader will wreck a "brilliant" system.

The key is to develop a methodology that maximizes your strengths and minimizes your weaknesses. Nevertheless, how do you do that? First, define your objectives.

Ask yourself these questions:

1. Am I designing a trading plan for cash flow or capital growth?
2. Do I want to trade part time or full time?
3. How much money can I work with?
4. What annual rate of return do I want? (Note: the higher the return, usually the higher the risk).

Decisions such as these will have the largest impact on the style of your trading system.

For example, if your goal is cash flow and low risk, buying or selling at extreme levels (overbought/oversold) is an unlikely style. If your goals center on quick capital growth, high returns and high risk, then bottom picking strategies and gap trading may be your style.

I had one client that was a wiz at buying and selling on eBay. This person was a beginner so I suggested buying the trade closer to the 52-week low, then selling the trade when it foresaw a profit.

Entries and exits must be precise and must follow a strict set of rules.

Styles range from aggressive day traders looking to scalp few point gains to investors looking to capitalize on long-term macro economic trends. In between, there are a whole host of possible combinations including swing traders, position traders, aggressive growth investors, value investors and contrarians.

Moreover, your style will depend on your level of commitment and experience. Day traders are likely to pursue an aggressive style with high activity levels. The goals would focus on quick trades, small profits and very tight stop-loss levels. For this, the trader uses intraday charts to provide timely entry and exit points. A high level of commitment, focus and energy would be required.

On the other hand, position traders are likely to use intraday charts and pursue 1-8 week price movements. Focused goals on short to intermediate price movements and the level of commitment, while still substantial, would be less than a day trader.

With this in mind, be sure to define your trading objectives as best as you can. Unless your system matches your own criteria, you will never make big profits. You need to ask yourself the simple question: "I am trading in the market because I want to __________"…

Answer this and you are well on your way to setting your portfolio objectives.

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comes to designing profitable trading systems.

His most recent course Ultimate Trading Systems is a step-
by-step trading roadmap to designing profitable trading
systems. Learn how *you* can become one of his students.
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If you have not back tested your trading system, you might as well trade with your eyes close.

In fact, whatever technical analysis criterion you use to trade with, be it moving averages, candle sticks, volatility breakouts, fibonacci retracements or any other trading system you have devised you’re going to need to back test your trading system thoroughly and objectively in order to remove any possible doubt about it’s capability.

To remove any self-doubt you need to thoroughly back test or simulate your trading system in such away that it matches the conditions under which it will be traded. Once you have established that you have a reliable and robust trading system only then will you be confident in trading your system.

When trading what is the question in most traders’ mind?

To answer this question I shall quote the introduction from Chapter 8 Back Testing of Mark Jurik’s book Computerized Trading:

Will my trading strategy be profitable? After having gone through the arduous process of crafting a trading strategy, these are the questions you must ask yourself. The ability to answer these questions are the great promises that back testing holds out for all traders. A successful back testing procedure will greatly reduce the probability that you will begin trading with either an unprofitable strategy or one that does not meet your expectations. By adopting a sound and rigorous back testing approach, you will:

1. Pinpoint which approaches to the market that are likely to be successful and which ones are not.
2. Generate good estimates of future performance for each trading strategy you test.
3. Create a record of your trading strategy’s historical trading performance.
4. Produce data necessary for other components of your trading approach such as your asset allocation strategy.

Important Trading System Criteria

Profitability is not the only criteria by which a trading system should be evaluated. Drawdown and stress should equally be considered as well… for example, before you open a trading account:

1. Are you satisfied that your system is reliably profitable?
2. Will drawdowns wipe out your account?
3. Is your system trading in a way you can tolerate?
4. Can you tolerate long periods of no trading or too much trading?
5. Can you tolerate a large string of losses?

The only way to answer these questions is to subject your trading system to extensive back testing.

Lack of Confidence

Lack of confidence usually forces traders to question their own trading systems. They give into the temptation to modify their trading plan with devastating consequences. This temptation spawns on by a string of losing trades or an opportunity to replace their trading system with a whiz-bang indicator that is usually talked about in traders chat forums.

Anything that sounds to good to be true will attract the attention of a trader who is not satisfied with their own trading system simply because they have not properly tested their system in the first place. In addition, they have not built up the necessary confidence needed to successfully trade the system developed.

In the end these negative subconscious thoughts will only hinder and destroy your ability to trade successfully. To improve your confidence in your trading system you need to thoroughly and objectively back test it - simple as that! Only then will you be confident enough to commit time and money to it!

The Traders Dilemma

How can you test how a trading system will perform over a period of time when trading an arbitrary group of securities?

— To truly evaluate the past performance of a trading system you need a trading simulator, which mimics the day-to-day trading activities of a typical trader. Until now this kind of software has been out of the reach of most traders. In fact, there has been some great headway in back testing software. Personally, I use TradeSim with MetaStock.

TradeSim is the first realistic true trading simulator/analyzer for Metastock that can quickly back-test and evaluate a trading system across a portfolio of securities. With its powerful data processing capabilities, TradeSim can evaluate the historic performance of a given trading system within a matter of minutes and do it with a realistic representation of a real-life trading scenario. Whether a single security or a multiple security portfolio, TradeSim answers the simple question:

"What would of happened if this system had of been traded in the past using an arbitrary portfolio of securities?"

Sounds simple - but is extremely complex if not impossible to do with Metastock as it stands alone. However, with TradeSim it is just a simple matter of running a Metastock exploration on a portfolio of securities using your own set of indicators. When the exploration has finished you just simply run TradeSim and analyse the resulting trade data.

Your system may look good with an expert overlayed on a single chart.

"But what about it’s real world trading performance?"

Typically, your system will consist of entry and exit triggers, prices as well as an initial stop loss. These five parameters basically define a framework for a trading system. The trouble with trying to back test a trading system is that the system tester built into Metastock is only extremely limited. As a result, this can give a very distorted view of your potential trading system performance. TradeSim addresses all of these issues whilst exploring new ground in technical analysis and uncovering new issues that have not been addressed by current software technologies.

Remember, no matter what back tester you go for, anything that sounds too good to be true will attract the attention of a trader who is not satisfied with their own trading system. This due to the fact that they have not properly tested their system in the first place and have not built up the necessary confidence needed to successfully trade it.

In the end, these negative subconscious thoughts will only hinder and destroy your ability to trade successfully. To improve your confidence in your trading system you need to thoroughly and objectively back test it - simple as that! Only then will you be confident enough to commit time and money to it! By testing your system, you have just put yourself into the top 1% of traders.

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David Jenyns is recognized as the leading expert when it
comes to MetaStock & designing profitable trading systems.

His MetaStock website offers a huge free collection of trading
related tips and tricks. Gain free access now.
Click Here ==> http://www.meta-formula.com/subscribe
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