Did you know you can make money (and a lot of it) by simply modeling someone else’s trading plan? Yes, it is true. Unbelievably, there are many of trading gurus doing it RIGHT NOW.

If you are new to trading, or even if you have been trading a while, this is a secret very few successful traders talk about. You see, many successful traders diversify their trading float by trading other peoples tested systems - because it is so easy to do.

There are several reasons to start construction of your own trading system by stealing or borrowing another trading system’s ideas and concepts.

FIRST, as I said, it is easy. There are some pretty good trading systems out there. Some are free and some are very expensive. The costs of these systems are not an indication of the value of the system. The problem with some trading systems is that they might not work for you. Now I am not talking about out right dishonesty, which is a big problem when trading. Rather, I am talking about your ability to effectively trade with the system that you are using or buying.

You need to use a system that matches your life style and personality. If you have a day job (not trading), do not use a system that requires you to stare at a screen all day. You will be distracted at work and miss the opportunities to make money or worse you will not close a trade effectively and will lose money.

Some systems have a potential to lose 20, 30 or 40% of your money before they are profitable. Can you handle a system that can drop your trading capital to half before making money? Or, are you prepared to have a string of 8 to 10 loses in a row before you have a winning trade? Some of the best traders in the world lose money on more than 50% of their trades.

An excellent trading method made famous by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt and sometimes referred to as Turtle Trading, is one of the best trading system that I know. They obtain returns in excess of 20 to 100% per year. With that said, could most traders trade their system? Not a chance! Dennis and Eckhardt also loose on over 60% of their trades.

SECOND, do not reinvent the wheel. Face it, if you are a new or even a fairly serious trader, what is the possibility that you will come up with a totally new concept? There are some very smart and wealthy traders out there. Why not use their ideas? Remember Dennis and Eckhardt in the above paragraph. Their system is based on a "breakout" method.

I know most traders could not trade using their exact method but they could take components of it, like breakouts to validate or confirm a trend.

THIRD, use other systems to give you the basics of what is necessary in a system to make money.

So I guess the question is now… where do you find good trading plans to model? Before you start looking for trading plans, you need to have some sort of a check list. Take out a piece of paper and write down different things you want to accomplish with a trading plan. What do you want to learn? Go from the gut, your heart and pick things that mean something to you. If you just randomly select items off of a page on the internet, your list will not have meaning and personality and that is what you want. A system that you can personalize to fit your lifestyle.

This checklist will help you find successful trading plans that already work without developing your own. Develop a habit of constantly snooping around and doing research. I am constantly looking to see what other people are doing in the trading arena and if you keep it up, you will too.

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comes to designing profitable trading systems.

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systems. Learn how *you* can become one of his students.
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Have you been listening to the talking heads on CNBC-TV? Or those talk radio stock experts? Getting all those good recommendations on what to buy now. Now?

Those guys keep telling me the market is oversold. It can’t go any lower. (But it does.) I bet your broker has some hot tips for you too. Advice from a broker is a eulogy for your money. I don’t think he has told you about the one position you should have in your account right now. It’s a nasty four letter word to him - CASH. In a money market fund it will make you about 5%, maybe 6% and that is better than the bloodletting going on in the market.

There is an old saying - "When in doubt, get out". And right now everything is in doubt. The "experts" are confused as one says ‘recession’, another says ‘hard landing’, another ’soft landing’, ‘buy’, and no one says ’sell’. That last word is a ‘no-no’ on Wall Street. Less than 3% of all brokerage recommendations are sells. They are afraid they will offend the company and won’t be able to talk to the CEO any more. Hey, what about us customers out here? We are the ones who are paying the bills.

Garrett van Wagoner of the Van Wagoner family of funds said he follows 5,200 Nasdaq stocks and that more than 1,000 of them have lost 90% of their value and 200 have dropped over 99% in value. Yes, he says there are some great values out there, but he doesn’t say which ones or when to buy. I’d like to ask him if he was smart enough to sell some of those puppies before they hit bottom.

The stock market mavens think they are market makers, but they are more like weather meteorologists who predict but cannot manipulate the weather. When the weatherman is wrong you get wet. When the stock experts are wrong you get soaked.

As I have said in past columns there is no hope that Nasdaq will go back to the 5000 level for many, many years. Ten years would be my closest guess. There are too many stocks being held by investors who are waiting for a rally up so they can get out "even". This kind of thinking keeps you poor. Your money is tied up in a stock that will never perform when it could be some place else making you a profit. There is always some dummy out there who will buy your garbage.

We are having a bargain basement sale now in the stock market. Most of it is something no one wants. Ever been to a garage sale? Can their junk be your treasure? There will be plenty of time to buy, but now is not the time to go shopping.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

For the last few weeks we have seen the stock market averages going higher and higher each week yet the economic news is still very bad. Is this bear market coming to an end? Will the stock prices and mutual funds go back up to where they were?

It seems all the talking heads on TV and the talk radio guys are telling you that now is the time to buy because the market will be much higher next year. "You can’t afford to not be in the market" is the cry. They have lots of reasons that sound good, but almost none of them will hold water upon close analysis.

The one thing that I hear is that the market is now "fairly valued". Now the S&P500 index has a P/E ratio (that’s Price/Earnings) of around 32 that means it will take 32 years to get back your money based on what the company’s stock is earning today. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to realize there are many other places to get a better return. There are many, many stocks with P/E ratios in the hundreds and others that have no earnings at all. That doesn’t mean those stocks won’t go up; it means they won’t stay up once people realize they have no value other than anticipation. That is why the Nasdaq has declined 75% so far and it is still over priced.

The Wall Street mavens say that next year earnings will be much better so the price today is cheap compared to what it will be then so you better buy now. When you go back in time you will see that the average P/E for the S&P500 index has been 14 - 15 for many years. Could that mean that "this time it is different" or is the index over priced by 200%?

Forty percent of the advance in stock prices is due to directional movement of the market as a whole, 40% due to the strength of the sector that it is in and 20% due to the quality of the company itself. You see, just because it is a "good" company does not mean the stock will advance. Birds of a feather flock together so the "good" company must be in a strong sector that is advancing and then the whole market must be advancing also. When you have all 3 of these things going you have a good chance of making money.

Where are we today? You must step back to take a long view of the market indexes. The price action of the past few weeks cannot be counted as the market trend as a whole. Most market technical analysts say that the market is in a rally phase of a long term bear market and that the rally will halt and head down somewhere near the 200-day moving average that is currently at about 10,300 on the DOW.

Is the bear back in his cage? Has the bull market returned? It depends upon who you want to believe but whatever you do you should be protecting your capital with trailing stop-loss orders on your stocks and mental stops for your mutual funds. Even those with IRAs and 401Ks can move their money into a money market account should the market start down again.

Time will tell.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Wall Street has been preaching the doctrine of Buy and Hold forever. The worst part about it is the small investor (and some big ones) actually believe it. Brokers and financial planners believe it, but when you show them they can get a better return by timing the market they just say, "It can’t be done". They are either lazy or stupid.

Most brokers have not learned their trade - investing. Webster says that means putting money into something (stocks) for the purpose of obtaining an income or profit. When people look at their brokerage statements these days they must wonder where their broker went to school. Investors could have done better with a dartboard.

Brokers are not taught to make money. They are taught all the regulations that come out of Washington that must be followed so the brokerage company will not be sued. To my knowledge none of them are taught the basic fundamentals of increasing customers’ wealth or protecting the customers’ capital from loss.

Brokerage houses hire people to do reports about companies. They call them analysts, but today those jobs have deteriorated into snow jobs to get people to buy stock in a particular company. When you read the report you will find it very professionally done with pretty pictures and graphs and charts. Wow! I’ll buy that. And a few months later you will wish you hadn’t. When you have a loss the standard reply is, "Don’t worry. You are in for the long haul. The market always comes back". In your lifetime? Today there are hundreds of stocks that have lost 50% to 90% of their value and there is absolutely no hope they will ever recover those losses. But….you are in for the long haul. You now have the Buy and Hold philosophy.

Why do so many people cling to this doctrine?

You have a stock you bought for $40 per share that went up to some profitable number and now is down below $10/share. You’re out 75% of your money. You are waiting for it to go back up so you can get out "even" and I will tell you "even" is a loser.

Many years ago I heard a story about how they used to catch monkeys in Africa. A hole was made just big enough for the monkey to get his outstretched hand in a hollowed out coconut shell. Fruit and sweets were placed inside. The monkey put his hand in and gripped the goodies, but could not remove his clinched fist. It refused to let go even when the hunter came to put him in a cage. All the monkey had to do was let go of the candy and he could have escaped.

Many investors are the same way about the stock they bought. They won’t let go. The investor does not want to admit he was wrong. You are not wrong until you sell - just broke. Small losses will not hurt you, but holding on can put you in the poverty cage. Buy and Hold conventional wisdom will break you. Learn to let go of the losers quickly and you will preserve your capital.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

al@mutualfundstrategy.com; 1-888-345-7870

I use the P/E ratio as a secondary indicator for buying and selling stocks but I don’t use the ratio in the same a manner as many value investors teach. I will explain the difference in my methodology for using the P/E ratio to your advantage.

Many value investors will pass on a growth stock that has a P/E ratio higher than a predetermined level. For example, they may discard all stocks that have a ratio of 15 or higher, no matter what industry group they come from. Some investors will discard any stocks that have P/E ratios above the industry group averages, concluding that they are grossly overvalued. I am not saying that this method doesn’t work, because it does but it will not work when you focus on buying young innovative small cap stocks that are growing at tremendous rates, rates that "big caps" can no longer sustain.

I have never passed on buying a stock due to its P/E ratio being too high. What is too high? Too high to one investor may be low to another investor. This is the same logic that I use when speaking of stock’s prices. One problem that have with some value investors is their lack of understanding of the movement of the P/E ratio line on a chart. As a stock begins to move 100% or 200% from its pivot point, the P/E ratio will also move higher over the course of time. Plotting the P/E ratio on a chart will show you how much of a gain the ratio has made as the stock continues its up-trend.

Value investors that pass on buying stocks with P/E ratio’s above a certain threshold have missed some of the biggest winners of all time (the 10-baggers as Peter Lynch would say). Analysts frequently downgrade stocks when their P/E ratios cross what they believe to be fully valued thresholds.

Some things in life are worth more than other things although they offer the same use, such as a car. I tend to use this example often but I would rather own a Mercedes for $50k over a Pinto for $10k. They will both take me where I want to go but I value the amenities that the Mercedes gives me and the added comfort, quality and style that comes with the luxury vehicle. The same holds true for stocks, certain companies offer greater appeal and are valued at higher ratios than their competitors. The best materialistic things in life, including growth stocks, are usually bought at a premium.

The P-E ratio uses a stock’s current price and divides it by total earnings per share over the past four quarters. For example, currently GDP has a P/E ratio 51.06 with a share price of $24.00. Its last four quarters of EPS add up to $0.47. Its P-E ratio is $24.00 divided by $0.47, or 51.06. MSN Money Central has the P/E ratio listed at 51.30.

Growth stocks usually sport higher P/E ratios than the rest of the general market, even at the start of up-trends. A high P/E ratio typically means that the stock is enjoying strong demand. If a stock climbs in price from 40 to 60, its P/E ratio also gains 50%. Even though the P/E ratio may be high according to some analysts and value investors, the stock may be about to breakout from a cup-with-handle and go on to double from this point. Would you want to miss out on a possible 100% gain because the P/E ratio is too high?

Investor’s Business Daily conducted an excellent case study in 1996-97: “The 95 best small- and mid-cap stocks of 1996-97 had an average P-E of 39 at their pivot and 87 at the peak of their run-ups. The 25 best large caps of those years began with an average P-E of 20 and rose to 37. To get a piece of these big winners, you had to pay a premium.”

When I purchase a stock, I note the current P/E ratio and chart it along with the price. Historically, P/E’s that move up 100%-200% or more while the stock is advancing, usually become vulnerable stocks and can start to become extended and flash sell signals. It holds true for a stock with a P/E starting at 15 and going to 40 or a stock with a P/E of 50 and going to 115. Don’t skip over EXCELLENT companies that are growing at amazing clips because of a high P/E ratio. What may seem high now, may be low later on! Earnings and Sales are much more important. Price and volume are the most important. The P/E ratio is just a secondary indicator that can be used to further analyze the stocks in your portfolio.

Always use price and volume as your first line of offense and defense. From this point, turn to some dependable secondary indicators to confirm your original analysis and then make a decision. I would never throw out a stock because its P/E ratio is too high. Take GOOG for example, every value investor missed the 100% gain that this stock boasted after the release of its IPO. Growth stocks are expensive for a reason, don’t forget the analogy to a Mercedes.

Chris Perruna - http://www.marketstockwatch.com

Chris is the Founder and President of MarketStockWatch.com, an internet community that teaches you how to invest your money with solid rules. We don’t stop at just showing you our daily and weekly screens, we teach you how to make your own screens through education. Through our philosophy, you will be able to create your own methods and styles to become successful.

Ever have one of those sample boxes of candy? Each little piece is beautifully wrapped in colorful foil or decorated with an interesting design. Taste just one. So good! One more. And another. Before you know it the box is empty. Nothing left.

This upmove in the stock market is very tempting - and could leave you with a tummy ache.

All the market "experts" are telling you that the bull market is back and to get your buying clothes on. Open your wallet and get in before it is too late. Mr. Schwab says it is dangerous to be out of the market. There are great values out there. These stocks are so low they can’t go any lower. And there is a Santa Claus and an Easter Bunny.

There is one position I do advocate, but most broker and financial planners won’t like it. It is called CASH. No broker believes cash is a position. They say you must always be "invested". It seems they have forgotten that investing means making money and another important part of investing means not losing money.

For the last month we have seen the market go up and some of you have seen some of your money come back. Not too much, but some. You want desperately to believe the bull market is back and your winnings will be restored. I sure hope so. Just suppose this is what is called a rally in a bear market and that it will not last. Then what? You don’t want to see your investments slip away again, do you? You don’t know if it is a good idea to sell now or wait. Your broker won’t be any help.

There is a solution. Stay with your stocks and mutual funds as long as they are going up, but sell them if they go down. How? Every Friday after the close you get the settlement prices of your various issues and you then call your broker Monday morning to put in a "Good Til Cancelled Stop-Loss Order" that is approximately 10% below that closing price. As long as the stock is going up you follow this procedure every week and eventually you will be stopped out. Never move your stop down. You no longer have to guess if this is the highest price that your stock will reach. The stock itself will tell you.

Now you have cash and, if you want to, you can buy a better stock or mutual fund that is going up..

When you pick out a new chocolate (stock) do it carefully and don’t try to eat the whole box at once. Sometimes it is best to put the box (your cash) away so you can come back to it another day.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

al@mutualfundstrategy.com; 1-888-345-7870

It has often been said that there is only two ways to get hurt really bad on a stock trade, getting caught in a "death spiral" by not using DTM: Decisive Trade Management in the way of stop loses and having a stock halted on you. Halts you have zero control over. Death spirals are of your own making if you do not practice the use of stop loses.

Very simply stated Decisive Trade Management is keeping a stock form moving to far against you when the trade goes bad. It is not impossible to have 5 or 6 out of 10 trades lose money and still be profitable for the net of the total 10 trades. What you must do is keep your loses small and manageable and try to maximize you winners. This is done with the proper use of Trading Stops and a strict discipline in using them.

Capital Preservation

It is my firm belief that capital preservation is one of, if not the single most important thing a trader has to concentrate on. It is also my belief that it is always better to error on the side of safety or caution, in general this all comes under DTM: Decisive Trade Management.

Stop loses and the discipline to use them are part of DTM

When you enter a trade, you should have both a possible profit figure or gain that you hope to obtain and a downside loss that "you" are comfortable with if the play turns against you. Only "you" can make that decision as to what these limits are. You are the only one that can determine you risk tolerance and ability to absorb loses on an individual trade. Factors on which these limits are determined include the amount of money you have in your account, your experience and knowledge of the particular stock, news or events affecting the trade and over all market conditions and possibly others. As an example, a trader trading a $250,000 account is more then likely better able to take a $2.00/shr hit on a stock then the trader trading a $25,000 account. Some traders will consider just how well they may have done on a previous trade or number of trades and let the stock run a bit more against them if they have already made a few good trades or if they need to make up for a bad trade or two. This is very risky. I personally don’t like to see risks taken in direct relation to previous trades. I would much rather see a plan that is in effect straight across the board. This goes along with my thinking that ever trader should have a trading plan and then you work your plan. (See Trading Plan: Everyone Should Have One) But human nature what it is, I’m sure the balancing trades against one another is probably being done all the time.

As a personal guide, in a market with very tight trading ranges, I’d think twice before letting a sock turn down by 50 cents or so. That is a very tight stop loss for the most part; again this can be flexible depending on your knowledge of the stock and its trading habits coupled with your own tolerance for loss. On an $85 stock, 50 cents is not all that much, but on a $9-10 stock it’s a much larger percentage. Markets trading in tight ranges and lacking volatility make it much more difficult to recover loses if the follow through is just not there. If the average profit in a trade is 25-75 cents, then letting one get down on you a buck or more is going to wipe out most if not all of the previous gains on two or three plays. It can take that many trades to get back to even.

On the other hand some stocks can move $2 or $3 in a heart beat and reverse just as quickly for $2 or $3 move into the money for a total of $4-$6 or more. A $.50 stop on these will have you stopped of the trade and out of the money more often then not. I suggest that unless you are familiar with these stocks that have a history of wild swings that you avoid them until you get familiar with them.

The Trading Stop Itself

It is the opinion of many experienced traders and one that I share, that the stop order should not actually be placed. Instead you determine what price it should be and be ready to place the order if and when the trade turns against you and nears your stop price. This is referred to as "mental stops". You can even go as far as having the order form all filled out and ready to execute as the price approaches your stop price. A lot of the newer trading platforms will allow you to actually place the order in their system but it is not sent to the market for execution until the price is reached.

When you actually place the order, you lose control of you trade. Many systems do not allow you to have two orders on the same position at the same time. If you want to sell the stock you first have to cancel the stop and get confirmation back before you can place another order.

On a stock that is moving rapidly against you some traders prefer to use a market order for the quick exit. I do not like the use of market orders any under circumstances. There are too many pitfalls involved with the use of market orders. Instead I suggest you use a limit price that is significantly lower then the bid that assures you get a fill.

However you chose to exercise the use of stop loss orders is up to you but it has to be done. DTM with the use of stop orders is the only way to defend against the dreaded death spiral.

See more Trading Tips at http://www.TraderAide.com

There are many excellent books on learning to day trade. My favorites are found at http://www.TraderAide.com/books

About the Author: Floyd Snyder has been trading and investing in the stock market for three decades. He was on the forefront of the day trading craze that swept the nation back in late1990’s both as a trader and as the moderator of one of the Internet’s largest real time trading rooms. He is the owner of http://www.TraderAide.com and Strictly Business Magazine at http://www.sbmag.org

Wall Street’s watchword has always been diversification, but what does it mean and why do they say it?

The standard Wall Street definition is flexible because each broker or financial planner will vary the portfolio based on your age and income. They say that the younger you are the more risk you should take and the older you are the less risk. They design a group of individual stocks, mutual funds and bonds to fit your personal profile and inclination toward risk.

For a young guy under age 35 they will put you into more high flyer type stocks, hardly any mutual funds and no bonds. As you go over 40 they start adding bonds to your mix and nearing retirement you will find a huge portion in bonds. Their goal is to have your money fully invested at all times and hope for a return of about 12% annually.

Why a little here, a little there? Because they have no idea how to make money so they hope that one segment of this hodgepodge will make enough to money to offset losses in the other area. They never look at each group separately for its performance and they NEVER tell you to sell anything at a loss so you can move into an area that is earning better profit. Wall Street brokerage houses really have no idea how to make money. Their job is to make commission. These portfolios that have been designed for all the little investors were made that way so they would not be sued by dissatisfied clients.

If you complain about poor returns they say everyone does it this way. Brokers have been taught this type of thinking for so long they think it is right and any other approach is heresy. If you want to do it differently you have to do it on your own. Why do these financial geniuses want you to be fully invested? If you had cash in your account you might take it out. And mutual fund managers never want you to take your money because they get paid by the amount of money in the fund, not on the investment return. Some investors write nasty letters to fund managers. Folks, save the postage. There is only one thing they understand - when you move your money elsewhere.

Rule One: Don’t buy any individual stocks. You are not qualified and probably don’t have the time to find issues that are going up. Rule Two: Buy only no-load mutual funds at a discount broker. Which ones? Only those that are going up and outperforming 99% of all other funds for the past 6 and 12 months, no longer. When they quit going up, diversify by moving your money to a better fund. Rule Three: Learn to time the market so you will not be caught in big downdrafts. Even the best funds go down then. Your broker will tell you can’t do this because he doesn’t know how.. It can be done. There will be times when you are 100% in cash.

These three simple rules are my answer to diversification, but will never be taught by Wall Street.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

al@mutualfundstrategy.com; 1-888-345-7870

Dollar cost averaging is one of the most popular ideas in the investment community. Everyone seems to like it and it has become a watchword among stock and mutual fund brokers. If it is properly done you will make money, if not you will lose money or at best stay even. Let’s examine the basic premise behind this method of investing.

You decide to buy shares in Mouse Trap, Ltd.(symbol CHZ), a computer company that produces sophisticated hardware. The shares are now selling for $40 and you want to purchase approximately $1,000 worth each month. Today you buy 25 shares. Next month the stock has gone up to $43 so your purchase is 23 shares (I’m rounding these off because you can’t buy fractions of shares.) The following month it drops back to $40, you get 25 more. Then at $37, you have 27 shares. At $35, 28 shares. At $32, 31 shares. You have invested $6,000 and have 159 shares at an average cost of $37.75.

With the current price of the Mouse Trap at $32 you have a loss of almost $1,000 (159 X $32 = $5,088). The object of buying any stock or mutual fund is to have more money than you put in, not more shares and less money. Who came up with this anyway?

Many years ago a broker talked his client into buying a thousand shares of Gravy Train (symbol EZSt) at $50 per share. In 30 days Gravy Train had spilled down to $30 and the broker didn’t want to tell his customer the bad news, but he had to call him so he came up with this: "Great news, Mr. Mushroom, Gravy Train is now at $30. If you buy another $50,000 worth you can get 1,666 shares and own all 2,666 shares at an average price of only $37.50. Isn’t that wonderful!" So far a "wonderful" loss of $20,000. There is a basic rule I learned a long time ago as a floor trader: NEVER ADD TO A LOSING POSITION.

I am in favor of dollar cost averaging, but there is a right way to do it. Only buy more shares as the price advances. Each purchase should be at a higher price per share than the previous price per share. This applies to both stocks and mutual funds. One good stock can make you a very rich person; one bad one can put you in the poorhouse.

In 1996 one of the hot stocks was Boston Chicken selling in a range of $30 to $40 per share. You could really own a lot of these shares had you continued to pour in money. It currently is selling at 50 cents per share. And mutual funds are not exempt. Lexington Troika-Dialog Fund was $24 in 1997. Today it is $3.00 per share. If you had dollar cost averaged UP your only loss would have been your first purchase.

Remember the object of investing is to make money not own a lot of shares.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

al@mutualfundstrategy.com; 1-888-345-7870

Caught in a whirlpool and being sucked under. No life vest or other device to save you. Gurgle, gurgle. Down you go.

This last couple of weeks in the stock market kinda feels like that whirlpool when you look at your financial statements. Of course, your broker will tell you this is a "normal correction and it gives you a chance to buy more so you can dollar cost average. He could be right about this being a correction, but dollar cost averaging down is 100% wrong. The proper way to average into a financial holding is buy more as it goes up in value, never down.

There is a basic law of physics that applies equally well to many things including the stock market. An object in motion will remain in motion in the same direction until interrupted by another force.

Keeping that in mind before you buy any stock or mutual fund is very important. Just because something looks cheap does not mean it will increase in value because you bought it. Usually there is a compelling story to go with it, but that doesn’t mean anything.

How can you know if what you are going to purchase has a chance of going up so you can profit from it? Let’s go back to the basic law of physics. Is it going up now? Many professional traders will want to see an equity that has been moving steadily higher for at least 3 or 4 months and rising at the rate of at least 3% per month. They also don’t like sky rockets that are going almost vertically as these are too dangerous and many times will fall as fast as they climbed.

You must also protect your capital at all times. Anyone who purchases stock or mutual funds without an exit strategy is doomed to lose his money over time. How? Very simple. You may very easily put a stop-loss order in place that will not allow you to lose more than 10% of your investment. Brokers discourage these as they have to watch them - and you should too. Your stops orders should be placed immediately after your purchase and before you hang up the phone. At the end of each month if your equity has gone up you should move up your open stop loss to lock in any profit that is accumulating.

If you will go back to study the price action of stocks and funds you will see that once an equity starts in a certain direction - either up or down - that course will be maintained for many months and sometimes years.

People hate to lose money, but one of the important rules is never to lose a lot of money. Small losses will not kill you, but big losses can make that gurgle, gurgle sound.

Al Thomas’ book, "If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005